02 — Capability · BC-610.40
Scenario & Risk Planning
Test the plan against things that might happen — a demand spike, a lost supplier, a port closure — so the response is chosen in advance rather than improvised.
- What-If Analysis
- Supply Chain Risk Planning
In scope
- Scenario modeling of demand and supply shocks
- Supply network risk assessment
- Pre-agreed response playbooks
Out of scope
- Enterprise-wide crisis response (see BC-830)
- Supplier risk scoring and monitoring (see BC-640)
Decomposes into · 3
- BC-610.40.10Scenario ModelingBuild and compare alternative plans under different assumptions so leadership sees the cost and service impact of each before choosing.
- BC-610.40.20Supply Network Risk AssessmentIdentify single points of failure, concentration and long-lead exposures across the supply network and rank them by impact.
- BC-610.40.30Response PlaybooksDocument the agreed actions for the most likely disruptions so that when one happens the first hour is spent executing, not debating.