02 — Capability · BC-1510.10
Load Forecasting
Predict how much electricity or water the network must deliver, when and where, at the level of the system, substation and feeder, so planners size assets ahead of need.
- Network Load Forecasting
- Peak Demand Forecasting
- Spatial Load Forecasting
In scope
- System and area peak forecasts
- Feeder and substation level load projections
- Electrification, EV and customer generation adoption scenarios
- Weather normalization of historical load
Out of scope
- Forecasting product demand for sales and operations planning (see BC-610.10)
- Financial forecasts and outlooks (see BC-220.20)
- Short-term load forecasts for market bidding and dispatch (see BC-1570)
Decomposes into · 4
- BC-1510.10.10System Peak ForecastProject annual and seasonal system peaks and energy delivered over the planning horizon under normal and extreme weather.
- BC-1510.10.20Feeder & Substation Load ProjectionAllocate growth to individual substations and feeders so local constraints show up before they cause overloads.
- BC-1510.10.30Electrification Adoption ScenariosModel how EV charging, heat pumps and rooftop generation change load shape and location under different adoption paths.
- BC-1510.10.40Load Weather NormalizationAdjust historical load for weather so trends and forecasts reflect real growth rather than a hot or mild year.